Direct Capital (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.90
| DCI Stock | 850.20 54.80 6.06% |
Direct |
Direct Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 18.90
The tendency of Direct Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 18.90 or more in 90 days |
| 850.20 | 90 days | 18.90 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direct Capital to drop to 18.90 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Direct Capital Investments probability density function shows the probability of Direct Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Direct Capital Inves price to stay between 18.90 and its current price of 850.2 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Direct Capital Investments has a beta of -0.0731 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Direct Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Direct Capital Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Direct Capital Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Direct Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Direct Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direct Capital Inves. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Direct Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direct Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direct Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direct Capital Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direct Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.84 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 329.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Direct Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direct Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direct Capital Inves can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Direct Capital Inves generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Direct Capital Inves has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Direct Capital Investments has accumulated about 9.88 M in cash with (1.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77. |
Direct Capital Technical Analysis
Direct Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Direct Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Direct Capital Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Direct Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Direct Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Direct Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Direct Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Direct Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Direct Capital Inves
Checking the ongoing alerts about Direct Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Direct Capital Inves help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Direct Capital Inves generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Direct Capital Inves has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Direct Capital Investments has accumulated about 9.88 M in cash with (1.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77. |
Other Information on Investing in Direct Stock
Direct Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Direct Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Direct with respect to the benefits of owning Direct Capital security.