Dime Community Bancshares Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 16.70
| DCOMP Preferred Stock | USD 19.94 0.14 0.71% |
Dime |
Dime Community Target Price Odds to finish below 16.70
The tendency of Dime Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.70 or more in 90 days |
| 19.94 | 90 days | 16.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dime Community to drop to $ 16.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dime Community Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Dime Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dime Community Bancshares price to stay between $ 16.70 and its current price of $19.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dime Community has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dime Community average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dime Community Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dime Community Bancshares has an alpha of 0.0938, implying that it can generate a 0.0938 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dime Community Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dime Community
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dime Community Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dime Community Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dime Community is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dime Community's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dime Community Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dime Community within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.008 |
Dime Community Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dime Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dime Community's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dime Community's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.6 M |
Dime Community Technical Analysis
Dime Community's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dime Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dime Community Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dime Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dime Community Predictive Forecast Models
Dime Community's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dime Community's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dime Community's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dime Community in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dime Community's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dime Community options trading.
Additional Tools for Dime Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Dime Community's price analysis, check to measure Dime Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dime Community is operating at the current time. Most of Dime Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dime Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dime Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dime Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.