Invesco Diversified Dividend Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.76

DDFIX Fund  USD 20.40  0.09  0.44%   
Invesco Diversified's future price is the expected price of Invesco Diversified instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Diversified Dividend performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Diversified Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Diversified Correlation, Invesco Diversified Hype Analysis, Invesco Diversified Volatility, Invesco Diversified History as well as Invesco Diversified Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Diversified's target price for which you would like Invesco Diversified odds to be computed.

Invesco Diversified Target Price Odds to finish over 19.76

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 19.76  in 90 days
 20.40 90 days 19.76 
about 74.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Diversified to stay above $ 19.76  in 90 days from now is about 74.75 (This Invesco Diversified Dividend probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Diversified price to stay between $ 19.76  and its current price of $20.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Diversified has a beta of 0.72 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Invesco Diversified average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Diversified Dividend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Diversified Dividend has an alpha of 0.004, implying that it can generate a 0.004 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Diversified Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Diversified

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Diversified. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8320.4020.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7620.3320.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7220.3020.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1520.5120.86
Details

Invesco Diversified Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Diversified is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Diversified's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Diversified Dividend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Diversified within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Invesco Diversified Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Diversified for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Diversified can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.96% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Invesco Diversified Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Diversified's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Diversified's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Invesco Diversified Technical Analysis

Invesco Diversified's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Diversified Dividend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Diversified Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Diversified's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Diversified's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Diversified's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Diversified

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Diversified for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Diversified help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.96% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Diversified financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Diversified security.
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