Denali Capital Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.72

DECA Stock  USD 11.71  0.02  0.17%   
Denali Capital's future price is the expected price of Denali Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Denali Capital Acquisition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Denali Capital Backtesting, Denali Capital Valuation, Denali Capital Correlation, Denali Capital Hype Analysis, Denali Capital Volatility, Denali Capital History as well as Denali Capital Performance.
  
As of November 28, 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to 119.77. In addition to that, Price Book Value Ratio is expected to decline to 1.50. Please specify Denali Capital's target price for which you would like Denali Capital odds to be computed.

Denali Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 11.72

The tendency of Denali Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.72  or more in 90 days
 11.71 90 days 11.72 
nearly 4.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Denali Capital to move over $ 11.72  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.46 (This Denali Capital Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Denali Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Denali Capital Acqui price to stay between its current price of $ 11.71  and $ 11.72  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Denali Capital Acquisition has a beta of -0.18 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Denali Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Denali Capital Acquisition is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Denali Capital Acquisition has an alpha of 0.0469, implying that it can generate a 0.0469 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Denali Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Denali Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Denali Capital Acqui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Denali Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7111.7112.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.849.8412.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7111.7112.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4611.6811.91
Details

Denali Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Denali Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Denali Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Denali Capital Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Denali Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Denali Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Denali Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Denali Capital Acqui can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Denali Capital Acquisition currently holds about 1.11 M in cash with (632.78 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Denali Capital Acqui has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Denali Capital Acquisition Corp. reports earnings - Quartzy

Denali Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Denali Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Denali Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Denali Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10 M
Cash And Short Term Investments204.5 K

Denali Capital Technical Analysis

Denali Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Denali Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Denali Capital Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Denali Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Denali Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Denali Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Denali Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Denali Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Denali Capital Acqui

Checking the ongoing alerts about Denali Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Denali Capital Acqui help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Denali Capital Acquisition currently holds about 1.11 M in cash with (632.78 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Denali Capital Acqui has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Denali Capital Acquisition Corp. reports earnings - Quartzy
When determining whether Denali Capital Acqui is a strong investment it is important to analyze Denali Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Denali Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Denali Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Denali Capital. If investors know Denali will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Denali Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.493
Earnings Share
0.17
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Denali Capital Acqui is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Denali that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Denali Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Denali Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Denali Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Denali Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Denali Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Denali Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Denali Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.