Deceuninck (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.23

DECB Stock  EUR 2.30  0.02  0.86%   
Deceuninck's future price is the expected price of Deceuninck instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Deceuninck performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Deceuninck Backtesting, Deceuninck Valuation, Deceuninck Correlation, Deceuninck Hype Analysis, Deceuninck Volatility, Deceuninck History as well as Deceuninck Performance.
  
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Deceuninck Target Price Odds to finish over 2.23

The tendency of Deceuninck Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 2.23  in 90 days
 2.30 90 days 2.23 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deceuninck to stay above € 2.23  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Deceuninck probability density function shows the probability of Deceuninck Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deceuninck price to stay between € 2.23  and its current price of €2.3 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deceuninck has a beta of -0.0273 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Deceuninck are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Deceuninck is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Deceuninck has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Deceuninck Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deceuninck

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deceuninck. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.082.303.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.162.383.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.052.263.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.262.362.47
Details

Deceuninck Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deceuninck is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deceuninck's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deceuninck, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deceuninck within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Deceuninck Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deceuninck for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deceuninck can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deceuninck generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has €6.62 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Deceuninck Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deceuninck Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deceuninck's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deceuninck's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding136.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments72.9 M

Deceuninck Technical Analysis

Deceuninck's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deceuninck Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deceuninck. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deceuninck Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Deceuninck Predictive Forecast Models

Deceuninck's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deceuninck's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deceuninck's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Deceuninck

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deceuninck for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deceuninck help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deceuninck generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has €6.62 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Deceuninck Stock Analysis

When running Deceuninck's price analysis, check to measure Deceuninck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deceuninck is operating at the current time. Most of Deceuninck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deceuninck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deceuninck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deceuninck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.