Delaware Extended Duration Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.71
| DEECX Fund | USD 14.60 0.11 0.76% |
Delaware |
Delaware Extended Target Price Odds to finish below 13.71
The tendency of Delaware Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.71 or more in 90 days |
| 14.60 | 90 days | 13.71 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delaware Extended to drop to $ 13.71 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Delaware Extended Duration probability density function shows the probability of Delaware Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delaware Extended price to stay between $ 13.71 and its current price of $14.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Delaware Extended Duration has a beta of -0.0527 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Delaware Extended are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Delaware Extended Duration is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Delaware Extended Duration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Delaware Extended Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Delaware Extended
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delaware Extended. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delaware Extended's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Delaware Extended Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delaware Extended is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delaware Extended's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delaware Extended Duration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delaware Extended within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0085 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Delaware Extended Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delaware Extended for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delaware Extended can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Delaware Extended generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Delaware Extended generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund retains about 94.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Delaware Extended Technical Analysis
Delaware Extended's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delaware Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delaware Extended Duration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delaware Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Delaware Extended Predictive Forecast Models
Delaware Extended's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delaware Extended's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delaware Extended's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Delaware Extended
Checking the ongoing alerts about Delaware Extended for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delaware Extended help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Delaware Extended generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Delaware Extended generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund retains about 94.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Delaware Mutual Fund
Delaware Extended financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delaware Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delaware with respect to the benefits of owning Delaware Extended security.
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