Defiance Silver Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0
| DEF Stock | CAD 0.22 0.01 4.76% |
Defiance |
Defiance Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 0
The tendency of Defiance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.00 or more in 90 days |
| 0.22 | 90 days | 0.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defiance Silver to drop to C$ 0.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Defiance Silver Corp probability density function shows the probability of Defiance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Defiance Silver Corp price to stay between C$ 0.00 and its current price of C$0.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Defiance Silver Corp has a beta of -0.42 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Defiance Silver are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Defiance Silver Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Defiance Silver Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Defiance Silver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Defiance Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Defiance Silver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defiance Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defiance Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defiance Silver Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defiance Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Defiance Silver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defiance Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defiance Silver Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Defiance Silver Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has accumulated 865.71 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 13.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Defiance Silver Corp has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Defiance Silver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Defiance Silver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Defiance Silver Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Defiance to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Defiance Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.35 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (139.6 K). | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has accumulated about 221.32 K in cash with (1.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Zacks Small Cap Weighs in on Defiance Silver FY2025 Earnings - MarketBeat |
Defiance Silver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Defiance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Defiance Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Defiance Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 269.2 M |
Defiance Silver Technical Analysis
Defiance Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Defiance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Defiance Silver Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Defiance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Defiance Silver Predictive Forecast Models
Defiance Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Defiance Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Defiance Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Defiance Silver Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Defiance Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Defiance Silver Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Defiance Silver Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has accumulated 865.71 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 13.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Defiance Silver Corp has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Defiance Silver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Defiance Silver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Defiance Silver Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Defiance to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Defiance Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.35 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (139.6 K). | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has accumulated about 221.32 K in cash with (1.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Zacks Small Cap Weighs in on Defiance Silver FY2025 Earnings - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Defiance Stock Analysis
When running Defiance Silver's price analysis, check to measure Defiance Silver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Defiance Silver is operating at the current time. Most of Defiance Silver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Defiance Silver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Defiance Silver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Defiance Silver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.