Delek Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 10.50
| DELKY Stock | USD 12.50 0.01 0.08% |
Delek |
Delek Group Target Price Odds to finish below 10.50
The tendency of Delek Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.50 or more in 90 days |
| 12.50 | 90 days | 10.50 | about 6.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delek Group to drop to $ 10.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.06 (This Delek Group probability density function shows the probability of Delek Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delek Group price to stay between $ 10.50 and its current price of $12.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Delek Group has a beta of -0.0661 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Delek Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Delek Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Delek Group has an alpha of 0.2714, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Delek Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Delek Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delek Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Delek Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delek Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delek Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delek Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delek Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Delek Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delek Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delek Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Delek Group has accumulated 14.5 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Delek Group has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Delek Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Delek Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Delek Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Delek to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Delek Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Delek Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delek Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delek Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Delek Group Technical Analysis
Delek Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delek Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delek Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delek Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Delek Group Predictive Forecast Models
Delek Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delek Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delek Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Delek Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Delek Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delek Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Delek Group has accumulated 14.5 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Delek Group has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Delek Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Delek Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Delek Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Delek to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Delek Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Delek Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Delek Group's price analysis, check to measure Delek Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delek Group is operating at the current time. Most of Delek Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delek Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delek Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delek Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.