Delek Group Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 12.33

DELKY Stock  USD 13.18  0.02  0.15%   
Delek's future price is the expected price of Delek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delek Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delek Backtesting, Delek Valuation, Delek Correlation, Delek Hype Analysis, Delek Volatility, Delek History as well as Delek Performance.
  
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Delek Target Price Odds to finish over 12.33

The tendency of Delek Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.33  in 90 days
 13.18 90 days 12.33 
about 10.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delek to stay above $ 12.33  in 90 days from now is about 10.84 (This Delek Group probability density function shows the probability of Delek Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delek Group price to stay between $ 12.33  and its current price of $13.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Delek has a beta of 0.93 suggesting Delek Group market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Delek is expected to follow. Additionally Delek Group has an alpha of 0.1383, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Delek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delek Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1213.1815.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4412.5014.56
Details

Delek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delek Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Delek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delek Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delek Group has accumulated 14.5 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Delek Group has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Delek until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Delek's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Delek Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Delek to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Delek's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Delek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delek Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Delek Technical Analysis

Delek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delek Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delek Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delek Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delek Predictive Forecast Models

Delek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delek's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delek Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delek Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delek Group has accumulated 14.5 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Delek Group has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Delek until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Delek's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Delek Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Delek to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Delek's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Delek Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Delek's price analysis, check to measure Delek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delek is operating at the current time. Most of Delek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.