Dell Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 139.02
| DELL Stock | USD 124.38 17.36 12.25% |
Dell |
Dell Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 139.02
The tendency of Dell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 139.02 after 90 days |
| 124.38 | 90 days | 139.02 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dell Technologies to stay under $ 139.02 after 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Dell Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Dell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dell Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 124.38 and $ 139.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.81 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dell Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Dell Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dell Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Dell Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dell Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dell Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dell Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dell Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dell Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dell Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0071 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Dell Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dell Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dell Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dell Technologies currently holds 25.99 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.53, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dell Technologies has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Dell Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 76.0% of Dell Technologies shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Dell Technologies paid $ 0.445 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dell Technologies Faces Challenges Amid Stagnant PC Market Revival |
Dell Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dell Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dell Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 736 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.4 B |
Dell Technologies Technical Analysis
Dell Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dell Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dell Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Dell Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Dell Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dell Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dell Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dell Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dell Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dell Technologies currently holds 25.99 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.53, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dell Technologies has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Dell Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 76.0% of Dell Technologies shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Dell Technologies paid $ 0.445 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dell Technologies Faces Challenges Amid Stagnant PC Market Revival |
Check out Dell Technologies Backtesting, Dell Technologies Valuation, Dell Technologies Correlation, Dell Technologies Hype Analysis, Dell Technologies Volatility, Dell Technologies History as well as Dell Technologies Performance. For more information on how to buy Dell Stock please use our How to buy in Dell Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dell Technologies. If investors know Dell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dell Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.857 | Earnings Share 5.65 | Revenue Per Share 129.078 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.091 | Return On Assets 0.0438 |
The market value of Dell Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dell Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dell Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dell Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dell Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dell Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dell Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dell Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.