Demco Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.81
| DEMCO Stock | THB 3.46 0.04 1.17% |
Demco |
Demco Public Target Price Odds to finish over 3.81
The tendency of Demco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 3.81 or more in 90 days |
| 3.46 | 90 days | 3.81 | about 20.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Demco Public to move over 3.81 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.02 (This Demco Public probability density function shows the probability of Demco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Demco Public price to stay between its current price of 3.46 and 3.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Demco Public has a beta of -0.1 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Demco Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Demco Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Demco Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Demco Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Demco Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Demco Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Demco Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Demco Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Demco Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Demco Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Demco Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Demco Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Demco Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Demco Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Demco Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Demco Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Demco Public has accumulated 54.46 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 45.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Demco Public has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Demco Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Demco Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Demco Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Demco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Demco Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Demco Public has accumulated about 210.19 M in cash with (166.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of Demco Public shares are held by company insiders |
Demco Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Demco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Demco Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Demco Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 730.3 M |
Demco Public Technical Analysis
Demco Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Demco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Demco Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Demco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Demco Public Predictive Forecast Models
Demco Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Demco Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Demco Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Demco Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Demco Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Demco Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Demco Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Demco Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Demco Public has accumulated 54.46 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 45.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Demco Public has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Demco Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Demco Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Demco Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Demco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Demco Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Demco Public has accumulated about 210.19 M in cash with (166.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of Demco Public shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Demco Stock
Demco Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Demco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Demco with respect to the benefits of owning Demco Public security.