Desa Deri (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.80
| DESA Stock | TRY 20.88 1.16 5.26% |
Desa |
Desa Deri Target Price Odds to finish below 17.80
The tendency of Desa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.80 or more in 90 days |
| 20.88 | 90 days | 17.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Desa Deri to drop to 17.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Desa Deri Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Desa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Desa Deri Sanayi price to stay between 17.80 and its current price of 20.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Desa Deri has a beta of 0.62 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Desa Deri average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Desa Deri Sanayi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Desa Deri Sanayi has an alpha of 0.0813, implying that it can generate a 0.0813 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Desa Deri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Desa Deri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Desa Deri Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Desa Deri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Desa Deri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Desa Deri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Desa Deri Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Desa Deri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Desa Deri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Desa Deri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Desa Deri Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Desa Deri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Desa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Desa Deri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Desa Deri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.2 M |
Desa Deri Technical Analysis
Desa Deri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Desa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Desa Deri Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Desa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Desa Deri Predictive Forecast Models
Desa Deri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Desa Deri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Desa Deri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Desa Deri Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Desa Deri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Desa Deri Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Desa Stock Analysis
When running Desa Deri's price analysis, check to measure Desa Deri's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Desa Deri is operating at the current time. Most of Desa Deri's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Desa Deri's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Desa Deri's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Desa Deri to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.