PT Dewi (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.73

DEWI Stock   83.00  1.00  1.19%   
PT Dewi's future price is the expected price of PT Dewi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PT Dewi Shri performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PT Dewi Backtesting, PT Dewi Valuation, PT Dewi Correlation, PT Dewi Hype Analysis, PT Dewi Volatility, PT Dewi History as well as PT Dewi Performance.
  
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PT Dewi Target Price Odds to finish below 77.73

The tendency of DEWI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  77.73  or more in 90 days
 83.00 90 days 77.73 
about 30.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Dewi to drop to  77.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.75 (This PT Dewi Shri probability density function shows the probability of DEWI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Dewi Shri price to stay between  77.73  and its current price of 83.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Dewi Shri has a beta of -0.98 suggesting Additionally PT Dewi Shri has an alpha of 0.5322, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PT Dewi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PT Dewi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Dewi Shri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.7383.0088.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.8269.0991.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.0482.3187.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.4283.4084.38
Details

PT Dewi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Dewi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Dewi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Dewi Shri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Dewi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.98
σ
Overall volatility
5.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

PT Dewi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Dewi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Dewi Shri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Dewi Shri had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
PT Dewi generates negative cash flow from operations
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

PT Dewi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DEWI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Dewi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Dewi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B
Shares Float990 M

PT Dewi Technical Analysis

PT Dewi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DEWI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Dewi Shri. In general, you should focus on analyzing DEWI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PT Dewi Predictive Forecast Models

PT Dewi's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Dewi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Dewi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PT Dewi Shri

Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Dewi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Dewi Shri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Dewi Shri had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
PT Dewi generates negative cash flow from operations
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in DEWI Stock

PT Dewi financial ratios help investors to determine whether DEWI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DEWI with respect to the benefits of owning PT Dewi security.