DFS Furniture (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.59
| DF0 Stock | 1.58 0.05 3.07% |
DFS |
DFS Furniture Target Price Odds to finish below 1.59
The tendency of DFS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.59 after 90 days |
| 1.58 | 90 days | 1.59 | about 87.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DFS Furniture to stay under 1.59 after 90 days from now is about 87.47 (This DFS Furniture PLC probability density function shows the probability of DFS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DFS Furniture PLC price to stay between its current price of 1.58 and 1.59 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DFS Furniture PLC has a beta of -0.0131 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DFS Furniture are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DFS Furniture PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DFS Furniture PLC has an alpha of 0.3115, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). DFS Furniture Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DFS Furniture
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DFS Furniture PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DFS Furniture's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DFS Furniture Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DFS Furniture is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DFS Furniture's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DFS Furniture PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DFS Furniture within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
DFS Furniture Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DFS Furniture for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DFS Furniture PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DFS Furniture PLC may become a speculative penny stock |
DFS Furniture Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DFS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DFS Furniture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DFS Furniture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254.8 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0474 | |
| Short Term Investments | 12.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 12.3 M |
DFS Furniture Technical Analysis
DFS Furniture's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DFS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DFS Furniture PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing DFS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DFS Furniture Predictive Forecast Models
DFS Furniture's time-series forecasting models is one of many DFS Furniture's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DFS Furniture's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DFS Furniture PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about DFS Furniture for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DFS Furniture PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DFS Furniture PLC may become a speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for DFS Stock Analysis
When running DFS Furniture's price analysis, check to measure DFS Furniture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DFS Furniture is operating at the current time. Most of DFS Furniture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DFS Furniture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DFS Furniture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DFS Furniture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.