Daifuku Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 10.67
| DFKCY Stock | USD 10.48 0.20 1.87% |
Daifuku |
Daifuku Co Target Price Odds to finish below 10.67
The tendency of Daifuku Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 10.67 after 90 days |
| 10.48 | 90 days | 10.67 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daifuku Co to stay under $ 10.67 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Daifuku Co probability density function shows the probability of Daifuku Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Daifuku Co price to stay between its current price of $ 10.48 and $ 10.67 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.1 suggesting Daifuku Co market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Daifuku Co is expected to follow. Additionally Daifuku Co has an alpha of 0.0207, implying that it can generate a 0.0207 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Daifuku Co Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Daifuku Co
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daifuku Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Daifuku Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Daifuku Co Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daifuku Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daifuku Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daifuku Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daifuku Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Daifuku Co Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daifuku Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daifuku Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daifuku Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 503.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 118.8 B |
Daifuku Co Technical Analysis
Daifuku Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daifuku Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daifuku Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daifuku Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Daifuku Co Predictive Forecast Models
Daifuku Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daifuku Co's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daifuku Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Daifuku Co in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Daifuku Co's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Daifuku Co options trading.
Additional Tools for Daifuku Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Daifuku Co's price analysis, check to measure Daifuku Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Daifuku Co is operating at the current time. Most of Daifuku Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Daifuku Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Daifuku Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Daifuku Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.