Defense Metals Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0727
| DFMTF Stock | USD 0.07 0 5.63% |
Defense |
Defense Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0727
The tendency of Defense OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.07 | about 62.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defense Metals to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.68 (This Defense Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Defense OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Defense Metals Corp price to stay between $ 0.07 and its current price of $0.075 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Defense Metals has a beta of 0.65 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Defense Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Defense Metals Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Defense Metals Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Defense Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Defense Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defense Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defense Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Defense Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defense Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defense Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defense Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defense Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Defense Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defense Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defense Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Defense Metals Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Defense Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Defense Metals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Defense Metals Corp has accumulated about 3.44 M in cash with (2.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Defense Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Defense OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Defense Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Defense Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.9 M |
Defense Metals Technical Analysis
Defense Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Defense OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Defense Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Defense OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Defense Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Defense Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Defense Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Defense Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Defense Metals Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Defense Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Defense Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Defense Metals Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Defense Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Defense Metals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Defense Metals Corp has accumulated about 3.44 M in cash with (2.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Defense OTC Stock
Defense Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Defense OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Defense with respect to the benefits of owning Defense Metals security.