Distribuidora (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1330.0
| DGCU2 Stock | ARS 2,200 110.00 5.26% |
Distribuidora |
Distribuidora Target Price Odds to finish below 1330.0
The tendency of Distribuidora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,330 or more in 90 days |
| 2,200 | 90 days | 1,330 | about 16.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Distribuidora to drop to 1,330 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.22 (This Distribuidora de Gas probability density function shows the probability of Distribuidora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Distribuidora de Gas price to stay between 1,330 and its current price of 2200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Distribuidora de Gas has a beta of -0.77 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Distribuidora are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Distribuidora de Gas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Distribuidora de Gas has an alpha of 0.7528, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Distribuidora Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Distribuidora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Distribuidora de Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Distribuidora Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Distribuidora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Distribuidora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Distribuidora de Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Distribuidora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 258.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Distribuidora Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Distribuidora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Distribuidora de Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 14.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.54 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.27 B. |
Distribuidora Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Distribuidora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Distribuidora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Distribuidora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 202.4 M |
Distribuidora Technical Analysis
Distribuidora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Distribuidora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Distribuidora de Gas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Distribuidora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Distribuidora Predictive Forecast Models
Distribuidora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Distribuidora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Distribuidora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Distribuidora de Gas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Distribuidora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Distribuidora de Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 14.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.54 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.27 B. |
Other Information on Investing in Distribuidora Stock
Distribuidora financial ratios help investors to determine whether Distribuidora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Distribuidora with respect to the benefits of owning Distribuidora security.