Dogus Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.10
| DGGYO Stock | TRY 40.18 0.78 1.98% |
Dogus |
Dogus Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish below 39.10
The tendency of Dogus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 39.10 or more in 90 days |
| 40.18 | 90 days | 39.10 | about 85.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dogus Gayrimenkul to drop to 39.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.02 (This Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Dogus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim price to stay between 39.10 and its current price of 40.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -0.62 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dogus Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.5221, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dogus Gayrimenkul Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dogus Gayrimenkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dogus Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dogus Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dogus Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dogus Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Dogus Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dogus Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dogus Gayrimenkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 1.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.49, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dogus Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dogus Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dogus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dogus Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 151.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (229.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.34 M. | |
| About 94.0% of Dogus Gayrimenkul shares are held by company insiders |
Dogus Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dogus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dogus Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dogus Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 332 M |
Dogus Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis
Dogus Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dogus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dogus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dogus Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models
Dogus Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dogus Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dogus Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dogus Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dogus Gayrimenkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 1.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.49, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dogus Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dogus Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dogus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dogus Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 151.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (229.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.34 M. | |
| About 94.0% of Dogus Gayrimenkul shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Dogus Stock
Dogus Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dogus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dogus with respect to the benefits of owning Dogus Gayrimenkul security.