Dogus Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.46

DGGYO Stock  TRY 40.18  0.78  1.98%   
Dogus Gayrimenkul's future price is the expected price of Dogus Gayrimenkul instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dogus Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Dogus Gayrimenkul Valuation, Dogus Gayrimenkul Correlation, Dogus Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Dogus Gayrimenkul Volatility, Dogus Gayrimenkul History as well as Dogus Gayrimenkul Performance.
  
Please specify Dogus Gayrimenkul's target price for which you would like Dogus Gayrimenkul odds to be computed.

Dogus Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish below 42.46

The tendency of Dogus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  42.46  after 90 days
 40.18 90 days 42.46 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dogus Gayrimenkul to stay under  42.46  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Dogus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim price to stay between its current price of  40.18  and  42.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -0.62 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dogus Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.5221, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dogus Gayrimenkul Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dogus Gayrimenkul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.9839.4042.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7132.1343.34
Details

Dogus Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dogus Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dogus Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dogus Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.62
σ
Overall volatility
3.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Dogus Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dogus Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dogus Gayrimenkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 1.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.49, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dogus Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dogus Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dogus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dogus Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 151.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (229.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.34 M.
About 94.0% of Dogus Gayrimenkul shares are held by company insiders

Dogus Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dogus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dogus Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dogus Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding332 M

Dogus Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis

Dogus Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dogus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dogus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dogus Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models

Dogus Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dogus Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dogus Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dogus Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dogus Gayrimenkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 1.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.49, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dogus Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dogus Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dogus Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dogus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dogus Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 151.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (229.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.34 M.
About 94.0% of Dogus Gayrimenkul shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dogus Stock

Dogus Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dogus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dogus with respect to the benefits of owning Dogus Gayrimenkul security.