Diversified Healthcare Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.48

DHC Stock  USD 2.41  0.03  1.23%   
Diversified Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Diversified Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Diversified Healthcare Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Diversified Healthcare Backtesting, Diversified Healthcare Valuation, Diversified Healthcare Correlation, Diversified Healthcare Hype Analysis, Diversified Healthcare Volatility, Diversified Healthcare History as well as Diversified Healthcare Performance.
  
At present, Diversified Healthcare's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to grow to 89.47, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.60. Please specify Diversified Healthcare's target price for which you would like Diversified Healthcare odds to be computed.

Diversified Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 2.48

The tendency of Diversified Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 2.48  after 90 days
 2.41 90 days 2.48 
roughly 2.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Diversified Healthcare to stay under $ 2.48  after 90 days from now is roughly 2.03 (This Diversified Healthcare Trust probability density function shows the probability of Diversified Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Diversified Healthcare price to stay between its current price of $ 2.41  and $ 2.48  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 suggesting Diversified Healthcare Trust market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Diversified Healthcare is expected to follow. Additionally Diversified Healthcare Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Diversified Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Diversified Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diversified Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.366.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.096.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.286.21
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.942.132.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Diversified Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Diversified Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Diversified Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Diversified Healthcare.

Diversified Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Diversified Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Diversified Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Diversified Healthcare Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Diversified Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Diversified Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Diversified Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Diversified Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diversified Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diversified Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Diversified Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.41 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (293.57 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 171.89 M.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 14th of November 2024 Diversified Healthcare paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Diversified Healthcare Trust Highlights Strategic Initiatives and Growth

Diversified Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Diversified Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Diversified Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diversified Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding238.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments245.9 M

Diversified Healthcare Technical Analysis

Diversified Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Diversified Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Diversified Healthcare Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Diversified Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Diversified Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Diversified Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Diversified Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Diversified Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Diversified Healthcare

Checking the ongoing alerts about Diversified Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Diversified Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diversified Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diversified Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Diversified Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.41 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (293.57 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 171.89 M.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 14th of November 2024 Diversified Healthcare paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Diversified Healthcare Trust Highlights Strategic Initiatives and Growth
When determining whether Diversified Healthcare is a strong investment it is important to analyze Diversified Healthcare's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Diversified Healthcare's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Diversified Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diversified Healthcare. If investors know Diversified will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diversified Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Dividend Share
0.04
Earnings Share
(1.61)
Revenue Per Share
6.173
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.048
The market value of Diversified Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diversified that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diversified Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diversified Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diversified Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diversified Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diversified Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diversified Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diversified Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.