Dipula Income (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 519.95

DIB Stock   529.00  5.00  0.95%   
Dipula Income's future price is the expected price of Dipula Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dipula Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dipula Income Backtesting, Dipula Income Valuation, Dipula Income Correlation, Dipula Income Hype Analysis, Dipula Income Volatility, Dipula Income History as well as Dipula Income Performance.
  
Please specify Dipula Income's target price for which you would like Dipula Income odds to be computed.

Dipula Income Target Price Odds to finish below 519.95

The tendency of Dipula Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  519.95  or more in 90 days
 529.00 90 days 519.95 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dipula Income to drop to  519.95  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Dipula Income probability density function shows the probability of Dipula Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dipula Income price to stay between  519.95  and its current price of 529.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dipula Income has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dipula Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dipula Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dipula Income has an alpha of 0.1414, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dipula Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dipula Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dipula Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
527.26529.00530.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
512.76514.50581.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
528.59530.33532.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
490.21513.62537.03
Details

Dipula Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dipula Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dipula Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dipula Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dipula Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
18.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Dipula Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dipula Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dipula Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Dipula Income Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dipula Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dipula Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dipula Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding893.7 M

Dipula Income Technical Analysis

Dipula Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dipula Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dipula Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dipula Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dipula Income Predictive Forecast Models

Dipula Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dipula Income's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dipula Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dipula Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dipula Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dipula Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Dipula Stock

Dipula Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dipula Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dipula with respect to the benefits of owning Dipula Income security.