Dignitana (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.92

DIGN Stock  SEK 1.19  0.01  0.83%   
Dignitana's future price is the expected price of Dignitana instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dignitana AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dignitana Backtesting, Dignitana Valuation, Dignitana Correlation, Dignitana Hype Analysis, Dignitana Volatility, Dignitana History as well as Dignitana Performance.
  
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Dignitana Target Price Odds to finish over 24.92

The tendency of Dignitana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 24.92  or more in 90 days
 1.19 90 days 24.92 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dignitana to move over kr 24.92  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Dignitana AB probability density function shows the probability of Dignitana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dignitana AB price to stay between its current price of kr 1.19  and kr 24.92  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dignitana has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Dignitana AB market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dignitana is expected to follow. Additionally Dignitana AB has an alpha of 0.4293, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dignitana Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dignitana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dignitana AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.198.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.018.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.408.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.181.191.20
Details

Dignitana Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dignitana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dignitana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dignitana AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dignitana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Dignitana Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dignitana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dignitana AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dignitana AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Dignitana AB may become a speculative penny stock
Dignitana AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 57.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.36 M.
Dignitana AB has accumulated about 36.33 M in cash with (43.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.56.
Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dignitana Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dignitana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dignitana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dignitana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.5 M

Dignitana Technical Analysis

Dignitana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dignitana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dignitana AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dignitana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dignitana Predictive Forecast Models

Dignitana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dignitana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dignitana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dignitana AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dignitana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dignitana AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dignitana AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Dignitana AB may become a speculative penny stock
Dignitana AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 57.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.36 M.
Dignitana AB has accumulated about 36.33 M in cash with (43.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.56.
Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Dignitana Stock Analysis

When running Dignitana's price analysis, check to measure Dignitana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dignitana is operating at the current time. Most of Dignitana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dignitana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dignitana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dignitana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.