DINE SAB (Mexico) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.86
| DINEA Stock | MXN 24.00 0.00 0.00% |
DINE |
DINE SAB Target Price Odds to finish below 23.86
The tendency of DINE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.86 or more in 90 days |
| 24.00 | 90 days | 23.86 | about 17.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DINE SAB to drop to 23.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.78 (This DINE SAB de probability density function shows the probability of DINE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DINE SAB de price to stay between 23.86 and its current price of 24.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DINE SAB de has a beta of -0.0333 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DINE SAB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DINE SAB de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DINE SAB de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DINE SAB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DINE SAB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DINE SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DINE SAB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DINE SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DINE SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DINE SAB de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DINE SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
DINE SAB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DINE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DINE SAB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DINE SAB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 635.7 M |
DINE SAB Technical Analysis
DINE SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DINE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DINE SAB de. In general, you should focus on analyzing DINE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DINE SAB Predictive Forecast Models
DINE SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many DINE SAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DINE SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards DINE SAB in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, DINE SAB's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from DINE SAB options trading.
Other Information on Investing in DINE Stock
DINE SAB financial ratios help investors to determine whether DINE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DINE with respect to the benefits of owning DINE SAB security.