Nusantara Voucher (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 138.0
| DIVA Stock | 155.00 32.00 26.02% |
Nusantara |
Nusantara Voucher Target Price Odds to finish below 138.0
The tendency of Nusantara Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 138.00 or more in 90 days |
| 155.00 | 90 days | 138.00 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nusantara Voucher to drop to 138.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Nusantara Voucher Distribution probability density function shows the probability of Nusantara Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nusantara Voucher price to stay between 138.00 and its current price of 155.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nusantara Voucher Distribution has a beta of -1.48 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Nusantara Voucher Distribution are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Nusantara Voucher is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Nusantara Voucher Distribution has an alpha of 0.4788, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nusantara Voucher Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nusantara Voucher
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nusantara Voucher. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nusantara Voucher Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nusantara Voucher is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nusantara Voucher's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nusantara Voucher Distribution, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nusantara Voucher within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Nusantara Voucher Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nusantara Voucher for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nusantara Voucher can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nusantara Voucher is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Nusantara Voucher appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Nusantara Voucher Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nusantara Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nusantara Voucher's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nusantara Voucher's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 T |
Nusantara Voucher Technical Analysis
Nusantara Voucher's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nusantara Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nusantara Voucher Distribution. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nusantara Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nusantara Voucher Predictive Forecast Models
Nusantara Voucher's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nusantara Voucher's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nusantara Voucher's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nusantara Voucher
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nusantara Voucher for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nusantara Voucher help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nusantara Voucher is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Nusantara Voucher appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Nusantara Stock
Nusantara Voucher financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nusantara Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nusantara with respect to the benefits of owning Nusantara Voucher security.