Direct Line (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 156.45
| DLG Stock | 158.00 2.80 1.80% |
Direct |
Direct Line Target Price Odds to finish below 156.45
The tendency of Direct Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 156.45 or more in 90 days |
| 158.00 | 90 days | 156.45 | nearly 4.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direct Line to drop to 156.45 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.16 (This Direct Line Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Direct Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Direct Line Insurance price to stay between 156.45 and its current price of 158.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Direct Line has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Direct Line average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Direct Line Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Direct Line Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Direct Line Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Direct Line
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direct Line Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Direct Line Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direct Line is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direct Line's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direct Line Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direct Line within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Direct Line Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direct Line for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direct Line Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Direct Line generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 11th of October 2024 Direct Line paid 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: DIISY Net Issuance of Preferr - GuruFocus.com |
Direct Line Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Direct Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Direct Line's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Direct Line's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Direct Line Technical Analysis
Direct Line's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Direct Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Direct Line Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Direct Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Direct Line Predictive Forecast Models
Direct Line's time-series forecasting models is one of many Direct Line's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Direct Line's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Direct Line Insurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Direct Line for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Direct Line Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Direct Line generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 11th of October 2024 Direct Line paid 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: DIISY Net Issuance of Preferr - GuruFocus.com |
Other Information on Investing in Direct Stock
Direct Line financial ratios help investors to determine whether Direct Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Direct with respect to the benefits of owning Direct Line security.