Desert Mountain Energy Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.22

DMEHF Stock  USD 0.21  0.01  5.00%   
Desert Mountain's future price is the expected price of Desert Mountain instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Desert Mountain Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Desert Mountain Backtesting, Desert Mountain Valuation, Desert Mountain Correlation, Desert Mountain Hype Analysis, Desert Mountain Volatility, Desert Mountain History as well as Desert Mountain Performance.
  
Please specify Desert Mountain's target price for which you would like Desert Mountain odds to be computed.

Desert Mountain Target Price Odds to finish below 0.22

The tendency of Desert OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.22  after 90 days
 0.21 90 days 0.22 
about 24.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Desert Mountain to stay under $ 0.22  after 90 days from now is about 24.42 (This Desert Mountain Energy probability density function shows the probability of Desert OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Desert Mountain Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.21  and $ 0.22  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Desert Mountain has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Desert Mountain average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Desert Mountain Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Desert Mountain Energy has an alpha of 0.1165, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Desert Mountain Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Desert Mountain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Desert Mountain Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.215.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.205.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.225.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.210.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Desert Mountain. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Desert Mountain's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Desert Mountain's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Desert Mountain Energy.

Desert Mountain Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Desert Mountain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Desert Mountain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Desert Mountain Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Desert Mountain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0

Desert Mountain Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Desert Mountain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Desert Mountain Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Desert Mountain had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Desert Mountain has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Desert Mountain has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 443.92 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.06 K.
Desert Mountain Energy has accumulated about 12.23 M in cash with (3.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16.

Desert Mountain Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Desert OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Desert Mountain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Desert Mountain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.6 M

Desert Mountain Technical Analysis

Desert Mountain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Desert OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Desert Mountain Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Desert OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Desert Mountain Predictive Forecast Models

Desert Mountain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Desert Mountain's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Desert Mountain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Desert Mountain Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Desert Mountain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Desert Mountain Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Desert Mountain had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Desert Mountain has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Desert Mountain has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 443.92 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.06 K.
Desert Mountain Energy has accumulated about 12.23 M in cash with (3.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16.

Other Information on Investing in Desert OTC Stock

Desert Mountain financial ratios help investors to determine whether Desert OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Desert with respect to the benefits of owning Desert Mountain security.