Indoritel Makmur (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9,045
| DNET Stock | IDR 9,075 75.00 0.82% |
Indoritel |
Indoritel Makmur Target Price Odds to finish below 9,045
The tendency of Indoritel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 9,075 | 90 days | 9,075 | about 55.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indoritel Makmur to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 55.77 (This Indoritel Makmur Internasional probability density function shows the probability of Indoritel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indoritel Makmur Internasional has a beta of -0.59 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Indoritel Makmur are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Indoritel Makmur Internasional is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Indoritel Makmur Internasional has an alpha of 1.0555, implying that it can generate a 1.06 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Indoritel Makmur Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indoritel Makmur
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indoritel Makmur Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Indoritel Makmur Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indoritel Makmur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indoritel Makmur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indoritel Makmur Internasional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indoritel Makmur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,146 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Indoritel Makmur Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indoritel Makmur for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indoritel Makmur Int can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indoritel Makmur Int is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Indoritel Makmur Int appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Indoritel Makmur generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Indoritel Makmur Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indoritel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indoritel Makmur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indoritel Makmur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 T |
Indoritel Makmur Technical Analysis
Indoritel Makmur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indoritel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indoritel Makmur Internasional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indoritel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indoritel Makmur Predictive Forecast Models
Indoritel Makmur's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indoritel Makmur's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indoritel Makmur's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indoritel Makmur Int
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indoritel Makmur for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indoritel Makmur Int help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indoritel Makmur Int is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Indoritel Makmur Int appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Indoritel Makmur generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Indoritel Stock
Indoritel Makmur financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indoritel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indoritel with respect to the benefits of owning Indoritel Makmur security.