Danske Bank As Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 12.99

DNKEY Stock  USD 13.98  0.35  2.44%   
Danske Bank's future price is the expected price of Danske Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Danske Bank AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Danske Bank Backtesting, Danske Bank Valuation, Danske Bank Correlation, Danske Bank Hype Analysis, Danske Bank Volatility, Danske Bank History as well as Danske Bank Performance.
  
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Danske Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 12.99

The tendency of Danske Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.99  or more in 90 days
 13.98 90 days 12.99 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Danske Bank to drop to $ 12.99  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Danske Bank AS probability density function shows the probability of Danske Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Danske Bank AS price to stay between $ 12.99  and its current price of $13.98 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Danske Bank has a beta of 0.0387 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Danske Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Danske Bank AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Danske Bank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Danske Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Danske Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danske Bank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Danske Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5813.9815.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8613.2614.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1613.5614.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.7714.1014.43
Details

Danske Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Danske Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Danske Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Danske Bank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Danske Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Danske Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Danske Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Danske Bank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Danske Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 44.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.07 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 44.41 B.
Danske Bank AS has accumulated about 780.23 B in cash with (109.36 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 458.24, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Danske Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Danske Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Danske Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danske Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding850.9 M

Danske Bank Technical Analysis

Danske Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Danske Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Danske Bank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Danske Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Danske Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Danske Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Danske Bank's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Danske Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Danske Bank AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Danske Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Danske Bank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Danske Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 44.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.07 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 44.41 B.
Danske Bank AS has accumulated about 780.23 B in cash with (109.36 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 458.24, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Additional Tools for Danske Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Danske Bank's price analysis, check to measure Danske Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Danske Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Danske Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Danske Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Danske Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Danske Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.