Dino Polska (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 395.45

DNP Stock   385.90  1.10  0.28%   
Dino Polska's future price is the expected price of Dino Polska instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dino Polska SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dino Polska Backtesting, Dino Polska Valuation, Dino Polska Correlation, Dino Polska Hype Analysis, Dino Polska Volatility, Dino Polska History as well as Dino Polska Performance.
  
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Dino Polska Target Price Odds to finish over 395.45

The tendency of Dino Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  395.45  or more in 90 days
 385.90 90 days 395.45 
nearly 4.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dino Polska to move over  395.45  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.69 (This Dino Polska SA probability density function shows the probability of Dino Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dino Polska SA price to stay between its current price of  385.90  and  395.45  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dino Polska has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dino Polska average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dino Polska SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dino Polska SA has an alpha of 0.228, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dino Polska Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dino Polska

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dino Polska SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dino Polska's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
383.05385.90388.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
340.60343.45424.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
347.87350.72353.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
382.42391.50400.58
Details

Dino Polska Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dino Polska is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dino Polska's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dino Polska SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dino Polska within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
29.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Dino Polska Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dino Polska for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dino Polska SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dino Polska Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dino Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dino Polska's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dino Polska's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding98 M

Dino Polska Technical Analysis

Dino Polska's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dino Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dino Polska SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dino Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dino Polska Predictive Forecast Models

Dino Polska's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dino Polska's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dino Polska's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dino Polska SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dino Polska for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dino Polska SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Dino Stock Analysis

When running Dino Polska's price analysis, check to measure Dino Polska's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dino Polska is operating at the current time. Most of Dino Polska's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dino Polska's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dino Polska's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dino Polska to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.