Dogus Otomotiv (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 292.87
| DOAS Stock | TRY 214.00 4.60 2.20% |
Dogus |
Dogus Otomotiv Target Price Odds to finish over 292.87
The tendency of Dogus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 292.87 or more in 90 days |
| 214.00 | 90 days | 292.87 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dogus Otomotiv to move over 292.87 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Dogus Otomotiv Servis probability density function shows the probability of Dogus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dogus Otomotiv Servis price to stay between its current price of 214.00 and 292.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dogus Otomotiv has a beta of 0.57 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dogus Otomotiv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dogus Otomotiv Servis will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dogus Otomotiv Servis has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dogus Otomotiv Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dogus Otomotiv
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dogus Otomotiv Servis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dogus Otomotiv Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dogus Otomotiv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dogus Otomotiv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dogus Otomotiv Servis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dogus Otomotiv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Dogus Otomotiv Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dogus Otomotiv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dogus Otomotiv Servis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dogus Otomotiv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dogus Otomotiv has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dogus Otomotiv until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dogus Otomotiv's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dogus Otomotiv Servis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dogus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dogus Otomotiv's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Dogus Otomotiv Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dogus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dogus Otomotiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dogus Otomotiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 198 M |
Dogus Otomotiv Technical Analysis
Dogus Otomotiv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dogus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dogus Otomotiv Servis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dogus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dogus Otomotiv Predictive Forecast Models
Dogus Otomotiv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dogus Otomotiv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dogus Otomotiv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dogus Otomotiv Servis
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dogus Otomotiv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dogus Otomotiv Servis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dogus Otomotiv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dogus Otomotiv has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dogus Otomotiv until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dogus Otomotiv's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dogus Otomotiv Servis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dogus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dogus Otomotiv's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Dogus Stock Analysis
When running Dogus Otomotiv's price analysis, check to measure Dogus Otomotiv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dogus Otomotiv is operating at the current time. Most of Dogus Otomotiv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dogus Otomotiv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dogus Otomotiv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dogus Otomotiv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.