DO Aktiengesellscha (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 130.69

DOC Stock  EUR 160.00  4.40  2.68%   
DO Aktiengesellscha's future price is the expected price of DO Aktiengesellscha instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DO Aktiengesellschaft performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DO Aktiengesellscha Backtesting, DO Aktiengesellscha Valuation, DO Aktiengesellscha Correlation, DO Aktiengesellscha Hype Analysis, DO Aktiengesellscha Volatility, DO Aktiengesellscha History as well as DO Aktiengesellscha Performance.
  
Please specify DO Aktiengesellscha's target price for which you would like DO Aktiengesellscha odds to be computed.

DO Aktiengesellscha Target Price Odds to finish below 130.69

The tendency of DOC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 130.69  or more in 90 days
 160.00 90 days 130.69 
about 1.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DO Aktiengesellscha to drop to € 130.69  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.85 (This DO Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of DOC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DO Aktiengesellschaft price to stay between € 130.69  and its current price of €160.0 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DO Aktiengesellschaft has a beta of -0.58 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DO Aktiengesellscha are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DO Aktiengesellschaft is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DO Aktiengesellschaft has an alpha of 0.1857, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DO Aktiengesellscha Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DO Aktiengesellscha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DO Aktiengesellschaft. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
157.23160.00162.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
127.09129.86176.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
157.95160.72163.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
154.10160.14166.18
Details

DO Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DO Aktiengesellscha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DO Aktiengesellscha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DO Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DO Aktiengesellscha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.58
σ
Overall volatility
7.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.0056

DO Aktiengesellscha Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DO Aktiengesellscha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DO Aktiengesellschaft can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

DO Aktiengesellscha Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DOC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DO Aktiengesellscha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DO Aktiengesellscha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.7 M

DO Aktiengesellscha Technical Analysis

DO Aktiengesellscha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DOC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DO Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing DOC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DO Aktiengesellscha Predictive Forecast Models

DO Aktiengesellscha's time-series forecasting models is one of many DO Aktiengesellscha's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DO Aktiengesellscha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DO Aktiengesellschaft

Checking the ongoing alerts about DO Aktiengesellscha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DO Aktiengesellschaft help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in DOC Stock

DO Aktiengesellscha financial ratios help investors to determine whether DOC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DOC with respect to the benefits of owning DO Aktiengesellscha security.