Healthpeak Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.66

DOC Stock  USD 21.30  0.21  0.98%   
Healthpeak Properties' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Healthpeak Properties. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Healthpeak Properties based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Healthpeak Properties over a specific time period. For example, DOC Option Call 20-12-2024 22 is a CALL option contract on Healthpeak Properties' common stock with a strick price of 22.5 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-03 at 15:49:51 for $0.1 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $0.1. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All Healthpeak options

Closest to current price Healthpeak long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Healthpeak Properties' future price is the expected price of Healthpeak Properties instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Healthpeak Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Healthpeak Properties Backtesting, Healthpeak Properties Valuation, Healthpeak Properties Correlation, Healthpeak Properties Hype Analysis, Healthpeak Properties Volatility, Healthpeak Properties History as well as Healthpeak Properties Performance.
For information on how to trade Healthpeak Stock refer to our How to Trade Healthpeak Stock guide.
  
The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.72. Please specify Healthpeak Properties' target price for which you would like Healthpeak Properties odds to be computed.

Healthpeak Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 17.66

The tendency of Healthpeak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 17.66  or more in 90 days
 21.30 90 days 17.66 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Healthpeak Properties to drop to $ 17.66  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Healthpeak Properties probability density function shows the probability of Healthpeak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Healthpeak Properties price to stay between $ 17.66  and its current price of $21.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.79 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Healthpeak Properties has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Healthpeak Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Healthpeak Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Healthpeak Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Healthpeak Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Healthpeak Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthpeak Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9521.3122.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0222.3823.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7022.0623.42
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.1123.2025.75
Details

Healthpeak Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Healthpeak Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Healthpeak Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Healthpeak Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Healthpeak Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Healthpeak Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Healthpeak Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Healthpeak Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Healthpeak Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Healthpeak Properties was previously known as PEAK Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol PEAK.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2024 Healthpeak Properties paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Doctor Care Anywhere Group PLCs Profit Outlook

Healthpeak Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Healthpeak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Healthpeak Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthpeak Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding547.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments139 M

Healthpeak Properties Technical Analysis

Healthpeak Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Healthpeak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Healthpeak Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Healthpeak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Healthpeak Properties Predictive Forecast Models

Healthpeak Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Healthpeak Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Healthpeak Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Healthpeak Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Healthpeak Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Healthpeak Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Healthpeak Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Healthpeak Properties was previously known as PEAK Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol PEAK.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2024 Healthpeak Properties paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Doctor Care Anywhere Group PLCs Profit Outlook
When determining whether Healthpeak Properties offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Healthpeak Properties' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Healthpeak Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Healthpeak Properties Stock:
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Healthpeak Properties. If investors know Healthpeak will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Healthpeak Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.046
Dividend Share
1.2
Earnings Share
0.49
Revenue Per Share
4.01
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.259
The market value of Healthpeak Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Healthpeak that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Healthpeak Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Healthpeak Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Healthpeak Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Healthpeak Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthpeak Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthpeak Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthpeak Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.