Dometic Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 52.64

DOM Stock  SEK 53.50  1.35  2.59%   
Dometic Group's future price is the expected price of Dometic Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dometic Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dometic Group Backtesting, Dometic Group Valuation, Dometic Group Correlation, Dometic Group Hype Analysis, Dometic Group Volatility, Dometic Group History as well as Dometic Group Performance.
  
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Dometic Group Target Price Odds to finish below 52.64

The tendency of Dometic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 52.64  or more in 90 days
 53.50 90 days 52.64 
nearly 4.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dometic Group to drop to kr 52.64  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.15 (This Dometic Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Dometic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dometic Group AB price to stay between kr 52.64  and its current price of kr53.5 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 suggesting Dometic Group AB market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dometic Group is expected to follow. Additionally Dometic Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dometic Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dometic Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dometic Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.1653.5055.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.3941.7358.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.5350.8753.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51.7853.0554.32
Details

Dometic Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dometic Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dometic Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dometic Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dometic Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
4.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Dometic Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dometic Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dometic Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dometic Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dometic Group AB has accumulated kr16.98 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Dometic Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dometic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dometic Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dometic Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding309.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.4 B

Dometic Group Technical Analysis

Dometic Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dometic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dometic Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dometic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dometic Group Predictive Forecast Models

Dometic Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dometic Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dometic Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dometic Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dometic Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dometic Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dometic Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dometic Group AB has accumulated kr16.98 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for Dometic Stock Analysis

When running Dometic Group's price analysis, check to measure Dometic Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dometic Group is operating at the current time. Most of Dometic Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dometic Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dometic Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dometic Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.