Dow Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 47.47
| DOW Stock | USD 42.18 0.55 1.29% |
Closest to current price Dow long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Dow |
Dow Target Price Odds to finish below 47.47
The tendency of Dow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 47.47 after 90 days |
| 42.18 | 90 days | 47.47 | about 37.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dow to stay under $ 47.47 after 90 days from now is about 37.88 (This Dow Inc probability density function shows the probability of Dow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dow Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 42.18 and $ 47.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.16 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dow has a beta of 0.76 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dow average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dow Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dow Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dow Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dow Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dow Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dow is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dow's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dow Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dow within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Dow Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dow for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dow Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dow Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dow Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Supporting Renewable Energy With Innovative Solutions |
Dow Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 709 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 B |
Dow Technical Analysis
Dow's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dow Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dow Predictive Forecast Models
Dow's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dow's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dow's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dow Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dow for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dow Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dow Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dow Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Supporting Renewable Energy With Innovative Solutions |
Additional Tools for Dow Stock Analysis
When running Dow's price analysis, check to measure Dow's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dow is operating at the current time. Most of Dow's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dow's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dow's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dow to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.