AP Møller (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 973.7
| DP4A Stock | 1,531 52.00 3.28% |
DP4A |
AP Møller Target Price Odds to finish below 973.7
The tendency of DP4A Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 973.70 or more in 90 days |
| 1,531 | 90 days | 973.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AP Møller to drop to 973.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AP Mller probability density function shows the probability of DP4A Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AP Møller price to stay between 973.70 and its current price of 1531.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AP Mller has a beta of -1.16 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding AP Mller are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, AP Møller is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally AP Mller has an alpha of 0.3197, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AP Møller Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AP Møller
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AP Møller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AP Møller Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AP Møller is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AP Møller's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AP Mller , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AP Møller within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 79.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
AP Møller Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AP Møller for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AP Møller can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
AP Møller Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DP4A Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AP Møller's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AP Møller's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.6 M |
AP Møller Technical Analysis
AP Møller's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DP4A Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AP Mller . In general, you should focus on analyzing DP4A Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AP Møller Predictive Forecast Models
AP Møller's time-series forecasting models is one of many AP Møller's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AP Møller's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AP Møller
Checking the ongoing alerts about AP Møller for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AP Møller help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in DP4A Stock
AP Møller financial ratios help investors to determine whether DP4A Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DP4A with respect to the benefits of owning AP Møller security.