ST Dupont (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0578

DPT Stock  EUR 0.08  0  2.50%   
ST Dupont's future price is the expected price of ST Dupont instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ST Dupont performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ST Dupont Backtesting, ST Dupont Valuation, ST Dupont Correlation, ST Dupont Hype Analysis, ST Dupont Volatility, ST Dupont History as well as ST Dupont Performance.
  
Please specify ST Dupont's target price for which you would like ST Dupont odds to be computed.

ST Dupont Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0578

The tendency of DPT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.06  or more in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 0.06 
about 10.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ST Dupont to drop to € 0.06  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.45 (This ST Dupont probability density function shows the probability of DPT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ST Dupont price to stay between € 0.06  and its current price of €0.078 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ST Dupont has a beta of 0.57 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ST Dupont average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ST Dupont will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ST Dupont has an alpha of 0.3702, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ST Dupont Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ST Dupont

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ST Dupont. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.082.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.092.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.082.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.080.08
Details

ST Dupont Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ST Dupont is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ST Dupont's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ST Dupont, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ST Dupont within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

ST Dupont Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ST Dupont for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ST Dupont can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ST Dupont has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 37.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.67 M.
About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ST Dupont Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DPT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ST Dupont's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ST Dupont's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding524.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.3 M

ST Dupont Technical Analysis

ST Dupont's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DPT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ST Dupont. In general, you should focus on analyzing DPT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ST Dupont Predictive Forecast Models

ST Dupont's time-series forecasting models is one of many ST Dupont's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ST Dupont's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ST Dupont

Checking the ongoing alerts about ST Dupont for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ST Dupont help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ST Dupont has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 37.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.67 M.
About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in DPT Stock

ST Dupont financial ratios help investors to determine whether DPT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DPT with respect to the benefits of owning ST Dupont security.