Donegal Investment (Ireland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.86
| DQ7A Stock | 16.50 0.00 0.00% |
Donegal |
Donegal Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 15.86
The tendency of Donegal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 15.86 or more in 90 days |
| 16.50 | 90 days | 15.86 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Donegal Investment to drop to 15.86 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Donegal Investment Group probability density function shows the probability of Donegal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Donegal Investment price to stay between 15.86 and its current price of 16.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Donegal Investment Group has a beta of -0.0267 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Donegal Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Donegal Investment Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Donegal Investment Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Donegal Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Donegal Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Donegal Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Donegal Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Donegal Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Donegal Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Donegal Investment Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Donegal Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0067 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.59 |
Donegal Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Donegal Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Donegal Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Donegal Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Donegal Investment generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Donegal Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Donegal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Donegal Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Donegal Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 M |
Donegal Investment Technical Analysis
Donegal Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Donegal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Donegal Investment Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Donegal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Donegal Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Donegal Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Donegal Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Donegal Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Donegal Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Donegal Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Donegal Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Donegal Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Donegal Investment generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Donegal Stock Analysis
When running Donegal Investment's price analysis, check to measure Donegal Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Donegal Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Donegal Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Donegal Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Donegal Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Donegal Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.