Dusit Thani (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.21
| DREIT Stock | THB 4.96 0.09 1.78% |
Dusit |
Dusit Thani Target Price Odds to finish below 5.21
The tendency of Dusit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 5.21 after 90 days |
| 4.96 | 90 days | 5.21 | about 62.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dusit Thani to stay under 5.21 after 90 days from now is about 62.74 (This Dusit Thani Freehold probability density function shows the probability of Dusit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dusit Thani Freehold price to stay between its current price of 4.96 and 5.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dusit Thani Freehold has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dusit Thani are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dusit Thani Freehold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dusit Thani Freehold has an alpha of 0.0249, implying that it can generate a 0.0249 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dusit Thani Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Dusit Thani
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dusit Thani Freehold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dusit Thani's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dusit Thani Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dusit Thani is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dusit Thani's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dusit Thani Freehold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dusit Thani within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Dusit Thani Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dusit Thani for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dusit Thani Freehold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dusit Thani Freehold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Dusit Thani Freehold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Dusit Thani Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dusit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dusit Thani's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dusit Thani's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 711.5 M |
Dusit Thani Technical Analysis
Dusit Thani's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dusit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dusit Thani Freehold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dusit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dusit Thani Predictive Forecast Models
Dusit Thani's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dusit Thani's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dusit Thani's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dusit Thani Freehold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dusit Thani for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dusit Thani Freehold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dusit Thani Freehold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Dusit Thani Freehold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Dusit Stock
Dusit Thani financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dusit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dusit with respect to the benefits of owning Dusit Thani security.