Darden Restaurants Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 164.96
| DRI Stock | USD 174.98 1.13 0.65% |
Darden |
Darden Restaurants Target Price Odds to finish below 164.96
The tendency of Darden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 164.96 or more in 90 days |
| 174.98 | 90 days | 164.96 | about 67.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Darden Restaurants to drop to $ 164.96 or more in 90 days from now is about 67.88 (This Darden Restaurants probability density function shows the probability of Darden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Darden Restaurants price to stay between $ 164.96 and its current price of $174.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.84 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.39 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Darden Restaurants will likely underperform. Additionally Darden Restaurants has an alpha of 0.0248, implying that it can generate a 0.0248 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Darden Restaurants Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Darden Restaurants
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Darden Restaurants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Darden Restaurants Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Darden Restaurants is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Darden Restaurants' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Darden Restaurants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Darden Restaurants within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Darden Restaurants Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Darden Restaurants for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Darden Restaurants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Darden Restaurants has 5.43 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.89, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Darden Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Darden to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Darden Restaurants has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of Darden Restaurants shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Darden Restaurants paid $ 1.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: BNP Paribas Sells 537 Shares of Darden Restaurants, Inc. |
Darden Restaurants Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Darden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Darden Restaurants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Darden Restaurants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 194.8 M |
Darden Restaurants Technical Analysis
Darden Restaurants' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Darden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Darden Restaurants. In general, you should focus on analyzing Darden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Darden Restaurants Predictive Forecast Models
Darden Restaurants' time-series forecasting models is one of many Darden Restaurants' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Darden Restaurants' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Darden Restaurants
Checking the ongoing alerts about Darden Restaurants for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Darden Restaurants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Darden Restaurants has 5.43 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.89, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Darden Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Darden to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Darden Restaurants has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of Darden Restaurants shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Darden Restaurants paid $ 1.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: BNP Paribas Sells 537 Shares of Darden Restaurants, Inc. |
Check out Darden Restaurants Backtesting, Darden Restaurants Valuation, Darden Restaurants Correlation, Darden Restaurants Hype Analysis, Darden Restaurants Volatility, Darden Restaurants History as well as Darden Restaurants Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Darden Restaurants. If investors know Darden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Darden Restaurants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.087 | Dividend Share 5.33 | Earnings Share 8.66 | Revenue Per Share 95.695 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.01 |
The market value of Darden Restaurants is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Darden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Darden Restaurants' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Darden Restaurants' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Darden Restaurants' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Darden Restaurants' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Darden Restaurants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Darden Restaurants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Darden Restaurants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.