DTCOM Direct (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.38
| DTCY3 Stock | BRL 4.37 0.00 0.00% |
DTCOM |
DTCOM Direct Target Price Odds to finish over 4.38
The tendency of DTCOM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 4.38 or more in 90 days |
| 4.37 | 90 days | 4.38 | about 43.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DTCOM Direct to move over R$ 4.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.1 (This DTCOM Direct probability density function shows the probability of DTCOM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DTCOM Direct price to stay between its current price of R$ 4.37 and R$ 4.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DTCOM Direct has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DTCOM Direct average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DTCOM Direct will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DTCOM Direct has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DTCOM Direct Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DTCOM Direct
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DTCOM Direct. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DTCOM Direct Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DTCOM Direct is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DTCOM Direct's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DTCOM Direct, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DTCOM Direct within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
DTCOM Direct Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DTCOM Direct for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DTCOM Direct can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DTCOM Direct generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DTCOM Direct has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DTCOM Direct has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| DTCOM Direct has accumulated 1.24 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 260.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. DTCOM Direct has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist DTCOM Direct until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, DTCOM Direct's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like DTCOM Direct sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for DTCOM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about DTCOM Direct's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.15 M. | |
| DTCOM Direct has accumulated about 832 K in cash with (2.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 98.0% of DTCOM Direct shares are held by company insiders |
DTCOM Direct Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DTCOM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DTCOM Direct's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DTCOM Direct's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 M |
DTCOM Direct Technical Analysis
DTCOM Direct's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DTCOM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DTCOM Direct. In general, you should focus on analyzing DTCOM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DTCOM Direct Predictive Forecast Models
DTCOM Direct's time-series forecasting models is one of many DTCOM Direct's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DTCOM Direct's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DTCOM Direct
Checking the ongoing alerts about DTCOM Direct for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DTCOM Direct help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DTCOM Direct generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DTCOM Direct has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DTCOM Direct has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| DTCOM Direct has accumulated 1.24 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 260.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. DTCOM Direct has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist DTCOM Direct until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, DTCOM Direct's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like DTCOM Direct sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for DTCOM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about DTCOM Direct's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.15 M. | |
| DTCOM Direct has accumulated about 832 K in cash with (2.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 98.0% of DTCOM Direct shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for DTCOM Stock Analysis
When running DTCOM Direct's price analysis, check to measure DTCOM Direct's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DTCOM Direct is operating at the current time. Most of DTCOM Direct's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DTCOM Direct's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DTCOM Direct's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DTCOM Direct to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.