Thanh Dat (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24400.0

DTD Stock   26,500  100.00  0.38%   
Thanh Dat's future price is the expected price of Thanh Dat instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thanh Dat Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thanh Dat Backtesting, Thanh Dat Valuation, Thanh Dat Correlation, Thanh Dat Hype Analysis, Thanh Dat Volatility, Thanh Dat History as well as Thanh Dat Performance.
  
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Thanh Dat Target Price Odds to finish below 24400.0

The tendency of Thanh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  24,400  or more in 90 days
 26,500 90 days 24,400 
about 10.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thanh Dat to drop to  24,400  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.94 (This Thanh Dat Investment probability density function shows the probability of Thanh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thanh Dat Investment price to stay between  24,400  and its current price of 26500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 suggesting Thanh Dat Investment market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Thanh Dat is expected to follow. Additionally Thanh Dat Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thanh Dat Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thanh Dat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thanh Dat Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26,49826,50026,502
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26,12326,12529,150
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25,64125,64325,645
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24,74425,82026,896
Details

Thanh Dat Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thanh Dat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thanh Dat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thanh Dat Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thanh Dat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
831.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Thanh Dat Technical Analysis

Thanh Dat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thanh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thanh Dat Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thanh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thanh Dat Predictive Forecast Models

Thanh Dat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thanh Dat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thanh Dat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Thanh Dat in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Thanh Dat's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Thanh Dat options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Thanh Stock

Thanh Dat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thanh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thanh with respect to the benefits of owning Thanh Dat security.