Vinacomin Power (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11,853
| DTK Stock | 11,900 500.00 4.39% |
Vinacomin |
Vinacomin Power Target Price Odds to finish below 11,853
The tendency of Vinacomin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 11,900 | 90 days | 11,900 | about 19.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vinacomin Power to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 19.31 (This Vinacomin Power Holding probability density function shows the probability of Vinacomin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vinacomin Power has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Vinacomin Power average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vinacomin Power Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vinacomin Power Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vinacomin Power Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vinacomin Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vinacomin Power Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vinacomin Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vinacomin Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vinacomin Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vinacomin Power Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vinacomin Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 604.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Vinacomin Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vinacomin Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vinacomin Power Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vinacomin Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Vinacomin Power Technical Analysis
Vinacomin Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vinacomin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vinacomin Power Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vinacomin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vinacomin Power Predictive Forecast Models
Vinacomin Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vinacomin Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vinacomin Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vinacomin Power Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vinacomin Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vinacomin Power Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vinacomin Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |