Duke Energy (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 633.6
| DUKB34 Stock | BRL 706.49 8.31 1.19% |
Duke |
Duke Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 633.6
The tendency of Duke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 633.60 or more in 90 days |
| 706.49 | 90 days | 633.60 | about 27.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duke Energy to drop to R$ 633.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.67 (This Duke Energy probability density function shows the probability of Duke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duke Energy price to stay between R$ 633.60 and its current price of R$706.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Duke Energy has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Duke Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Duke Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Duke Energy has an alpha of 0.211, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Duke Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duke Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duke Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duke Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duke Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duke Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duke Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duke Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 23.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Duke Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duke Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duke Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duke Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Duke Energy has accumulated 67.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 135.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Duke Energy has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Duke Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Duke Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Duke Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Duke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Duke Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Duke Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duke Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duke Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duke Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 770.1 M |
Duke Energy Technical Analysis
Duke Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duke Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duke Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Duke Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duke Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duke Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duke Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duke Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duke Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duke Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Duke Energy has accumulated 67.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 135.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Duke Energy has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Duke Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Duke Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Duke Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Duke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Duke Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Duke Stock
When determining whether Duke Energy is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Duke Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Duke Energy Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Duke Energy Stock:Check out Duke Energy Backtesting, Duke Energy Valuation, Duke Energy Correlation, Duke Energy Hype Analysis, Duke Energy Volatility, Duke Energy History as well as Duke Energy Performance. For information on how to trade Duke Stock refer to our How to Trade Duke Stock guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.