Duke Energy (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 756.41

DUKB34 Stock  BRL 672.07  12.01  1.76%   
Duke Energy's future price is the expected price of Duke Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Duke Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Duke Energy Backtesting, Duke Energy Valuation, Duke Energy Correlation, Duke Energy Hype Analysis, Duke Energy Volatility, Duke Energy History as well as Duke Energy Performance.
For information on how to trade Duke Stock refer to our How to Trade Duke Stock guide.
  
Please specify Duke Energy's target price for which you would like Duke Energy odds to be computed.

Duke Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 756.41

The tendency of Duke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over R$ 756.41  or more in 90 days
 672.07 90 days 756.41 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duke Energy to move over R$ 756.41  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Duke Energy probability density function shows the probability of Duke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duke Energy price to stay between its current price of R$ 672.07  and R$ 756.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Duke Energy has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Duke Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Duke Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Duke Energy has an alpha of 0.0128, implying that it can generate a 0.0128 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Duke Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Duke Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duke Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
670.16672.07673.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
660.86662.76739.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
677.75679.66681.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
629.20669.01708.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Duke Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Duke Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Duke Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Duke Energy.

Duke Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duke Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duke Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duke Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duke Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
25.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Duke Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duke Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duke Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duke Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Duke Energy has accumulated 67.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 135.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Duke Energy has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Duke Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Duke Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Duke Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Duke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Duke Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Duke Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duke Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duke Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duke Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding770.1 M

Duke Energy Technical Analysis

Duke Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duke Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Duke Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Duke Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duke Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duke Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Duke Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Duke Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duke Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duke Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Duke Energy has accumulated 67.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 135.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Duke Energy has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Duke Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Duke Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Duke Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Duke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Duke Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Duke Stock

When determining whether Duke Energy is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Duke Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Duke Energy Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Duke Energy Stock:
Check out Duke Energy Backtesting, Duke Energy Valuation, Duke Energy Correlation, Duke Energy Hype Analysis, Duke Energy Volatility, Duke Energy History as well as Duke Energy Performance.
For information on how to trade Duke Stock refer to our How to Trade Duke Stock guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duke Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duke Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duke Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.