Duran Dogan (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.01
| DURDO Stock | TRY 22.12 2.42 9.86% |
Duran |
Duran Dogan Target Price Odds to finish over 21.01
The tendency of Duran Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 21.01 in 90 days |
| 22.12 | 90 days | 21.01 | about 13.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duran Dogan to stay above 21.01 in 90 days from now is about 13.19 (This Duran Dogan Basim ve probability density function shows the probability of Duran Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duran Dogan Basim price to stay between 21.01 and its current price of 22.12 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.48 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Duran Dogan will likely underperform. Additionally Duran Dogan Basim ve has an alpha of 0.8953, implying that it can generate a 0.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Duran Dogan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duran Dogan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duran Dogan Basim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duran Dogan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duran Dogan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duran Dogan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duran Dogan Basim ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duran Dogan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Duran Dogan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duran Dogan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duran Dogan Basim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duran Dogan Basim is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Duran Dogan Basim appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Duran Dogan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duran Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duran Dogan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duran Dogan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35 M |
Duran Dogan Technical Analysis
Duran Dogan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duran Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duran Dogan Basim ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duran Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duran Dogan Predictive Forecast Models
Duran Dogan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duran Dogan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duran Dogan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duran Dogan Basim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duran Dogan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duran Dogan Basim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duran Dogan Basim is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Duran Dogan Basim appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Duran Stock
Duran Dogan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Duran Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Duran with respect to the benefits of owning Duran Dogan security.