Peruvian Metals Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0131
| DUVNF Stock | USD 0.01 0 9.92% |
Peruvian |
Peruvian Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0131
The tendency of Peruvian OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.01 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 18.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Peruvian Metals to stay under $ 0.01 after 90 days from now is about 18.58 (This Peruvian Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Peruvian OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Peruvian Metals Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Peruvian Metals will likely underperform. Additionally Peruvian Metals Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Peruvian Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Peruvian Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peruvian Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Peruvian Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Peruvian Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Peruvian Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Peruvian Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Peruvian Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Peruvian Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Peruvian Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Peruvian Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Peruvian Metals Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Peruvian Metals Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Peruvian Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.14 M. | |
| Peruvian Metals Corp has accumulated about 384.94 K in cash with (113.06 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Peruvian Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Peruvian OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Peruvian Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peruvian Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.4 M |
Peruvian Metals Technical Analysis
Peruvian Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Peruvian OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Peruvian Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Peruvian OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Peruvian Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Peruvian Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Peruvian Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Peruvian Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Peruvian Metals Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Peruvian Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Peruvian Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Peruvian Metals Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Peruvian Metals Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Peruvian Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.14 M. | |
| Peruvian Metals Corp has accumulated about 384.94 K in cash with (113.06 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Peruvian OTC Stock
Peruvian Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peruvian OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peruvian with respect to the benefits of owning Peruvian Metals security.