Dynex Capital Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 25.58

DX-PC Preferred Stock  USD 25.56  0.14  0.55%   
Dynex Capital's future price is the expected price of Dynex Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dynex Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dynex Capital Backtesting, Dynex Capital Valuation, Dynex Capital Correlation, Dynex Capital Hype Analysis, Dynex Capital Volatility, Dynex Capital History as well as Dynex Capital Performance.
For information on how to trade Dynex Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Dynex Preferred Stock guide.
  
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Dynex Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 25.58

The tendency of Dynex Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 25.58  after 90 days
 25.56 90 days 25.58 
over 95.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dynex Capital to stay under $ 25.58  after 90 days from now is over 95.79 (This Dynex Capital probability density function shows the probability of Dynex Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dynex Capital price to stay between its current price of $ 25.56  and $ 25.58  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dynex Capital has a beta of -0.0421 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dynex Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dynex Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dynex Capital has an alpha of 0.0612, implying that it can generate a 0.0612 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dynex Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dynex Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dynex Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.2625.5625.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9821.2828.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2825.5825.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.2425.4025.56
Details

Dynex Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dynex Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dynex Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dynex Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dynex Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Dynex Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dynex Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dynex Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dynex Capital has accumulated 2.6 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.31, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dynex Capital has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dynex Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dynex Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dynex Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dynex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dynex Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Dynex Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dynex Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dynex Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dynex Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments334.7 M

Dynex Capital Technical Analysis

Dynex Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dynex Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dynex Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dynex Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dynex Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Dynex Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dynex Capital's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dynex Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dynex Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dynex Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dynex Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dynex Capital has accumulated 2.6 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.31, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dynex Capital has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dynex Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dynex Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dynex Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dynex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dynex Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Dynex Preferred Stock

Dynex Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dynex Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dynex with respect to the benefits of owning Dynex Capital security.