Destination Xl Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.69
| DXLG Stock | USD 2.59 0.11 4.44% |
Destination |
Destination Target Price Odds to finish over 4.69
The tendency of Destination Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.69 or more in 90 days |
| 2.59 | 90 days | 4.69 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Destination to move over $ 4.69 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Destination XL Group probability density function shows the probability of Destination Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Destination XL Group price to stay between its current price of $ 2.59 and $ 4.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.12 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.52 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Destination will likely underperform. Additionally Destination XL Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Destination Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Destination
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Destination XL Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Destination Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Destination is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Destination's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Destination XL Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Destination within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Destination Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Destination for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Destination XL Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Destination XL Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Destination XL Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Destination XL Group, Inc.s Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stocks Recent Weakness |
Destination Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Destination Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Destination's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Destination's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60 M |
Destination Technical Analysis
Destination's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Destination Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Destination XL Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Destination Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Destination Predictive Forecast Models
Destination's time-series forecasting models is one of many Destination's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Destination's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Destination XL Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Destination for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Destination XL Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Destination XL Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Destination XL Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Destination XL Group, Inc.s Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stocks Recent Weakness |
Check out Destination Backtesting, Destination Valuation, Destination Correlation, Destination Hype Analysis, Destination Volatility, Destination History as well as Destination Performance. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Destination. If investors know Destination will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Destination listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Earnings Share 0.15 | Revenue Per Share 8.429 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets 0.0364 |
The market value of Destination XL Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Destination that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Destination's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Destination's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Destination's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Destination's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Destination's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Destination is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Destination's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.