Direxion Monthly Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 96.59
| DXRLX Fund | USD 101.13 2.40 2.43% |
Direxion |
Direxion Monthly Target Price Odds to finish below 96.59
The tendency of Direxion Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 96.59 or more in 90 days |
| 101.13 | 90 days | 96.59 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direxion Monthly to drop to $ 96.59 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Direxion Monthly Small probability density function shows the probability of Direxion Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Direxion Monthly Small price to stay between $ 96.59 and its current price of $101.13 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 2.61 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Direxion Monthly will likely underperform. Additionally Direxion Monthly Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Direxion Monthly Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Direxion Monthly
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direxion Monthly Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Direxion Monthly Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direxion Monthly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direxion Monthly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direxion Monthly Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direxion Monthly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Direxion Monthly Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direxion Monthly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direxion Monthly Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -5.0% | |
| Direxion Monthly Small retains about 34.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Direxion Monthly Technical Analysis
Direxion Monthly's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Direxion Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Direxion Monthly Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Direxion Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Direxion Monthly Predictive Forecast Models
Direxion Monthly's time-series forecasting models is one of many Direxion Monthly's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Direxion Monthly's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Direxion Monthly Small
Checking the ongoing alerts about Direxion Monthly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Direxion Monthly Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -5.0% | |
| Direxion Monthly Small retains about 34.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Direxion Mutual Fund
Direxion Monthly financial ratios help investors to determine whether Direxion Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Direxion with respect to the benefits of owning Direxion Monthly security.
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