Coffee Holding (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.07
| E6U Stock | EUR 3.48 0.12 3.57% |
Coffee |
Coffee Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 3.07
The tendency of Coffee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.07 or more in 90 days |
| 3.48 | 90 days | 3.07 | about 44.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coffee Holding to drop to € 3.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.33 (This Coffee Holding Co probability density function shows the probability of Coffee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coffee Holding price to stay between € 3.07 and its current price of €3.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Coffee Holding has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coffee Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coffee Holding Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coffee Holding Co has an alpha of 0.4266, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Coffee Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Coffee Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coffee Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coffee Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coffee Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coffee Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coffee Holding Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coffee Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Coffee Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coffee Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coffee Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Coffee Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Coffee Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Coffee Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coffee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coffee Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coffee Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.7 M |
Coffee Holding Technical Analysis
Coffee Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coffee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coffee Holding Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coffee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coffee Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Coffee Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coffee Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coffee Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Coffee Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Coffee Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coffee Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Coffee Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Coffee Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coffee Stock
When determining whether Coffee Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Coffee Holding's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Coffee Holding Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Coffee Holding Co Stock:Check out Coffee Holding Backtesting, Coffee Holding Valuation, Coffee Holding Correlation, Coffee Holding Hype Analysis, Coffee Holding Volatility, Coffee Holding History as well as Coffee Holding Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.